ALAN J. SALZBERG

Analysis & Inference, Inc.
80 Broad Street, 5th Floor
New York, New York 10004
Tel 646-461-6153; Fax 208-330-0899 asalzberg@analysisandinference.com

Analysis and Inference
2008-present
CEO

• Provide authoritative research and consulting services in statistics nationwide to corporations, government agencies, and organizations. The firm is skilled at presenting complex ideas to non-experts.
• Capabilities include statistical modeling and analysis of data, data mining, probability, sampling, statistical significance, validity and reliability, forecasting and time series, quality control, survey and experimental design, regression.
• Principal topic areas have been surveys, discrimination, insurance, healthcare, theft and fraud, risk analysis, product liability, telecommunications, commercial litigation and damages, public policy, and education.

Precision Economics, LLC
Washington, DC, 2001 - Present
Affiliate and Managing Director

• Provide statistical analysis and analytical services on a variety of issues, focusing on economics and trade practice.

• Founder and Principal of a consulting company that specializes in quantitative analyses of complex data through statistical modeling and estimation techniques.
• Clients include: BearingPoint; City of New York; U.S. Customs Service

• Established and led the New York office of KPMG's Quantitative Analysis Group. Built a consulting practice with annual revenues of $4 million.

• Performed statistical modeling and software design.

• Analyzed data and wrote reports in support of statistical consulting and research.

• Direct and conduct data analysis and statistical design in an ongoing series of tests for Bell South, Verizon, Ameritech, and Qwest. Beginning in 1998, developed software and procedures for calculating performance metrics and evaluating the competitive environment. Concerning testing done for Verizon, testified in hearings before the New York and Virginia Commissions. Also testified before other state public service commissions concerning testing performed at Bell South, Ameritech, and Qwest.
• For the City of New York in a potential litigation matter, created and analyzed a massive real estate database. Modeled market and sales values to determine potential biases of alternative methods of valuing commercial real estate.
• Evaluate the credibility of statistical sampling and analysis used to track and categorize imports, for the Office of Inspector General at the United States Customs Service. Suggested improved methods of sampling and implementation.
• Modeled television audience ratings to determine the Public Broadcasting System's share of cable royalty distributions. Used statistical methods to determine a reliable estimate of PBS's cable royalty share. The estimate resulted in a multi-million dollar decision in favor of the Public Broadcasting System by the Cable Royalty Tribunal.
• Analyzed various mathematical allocation schemes for paying settlement claims in asbestos lawsuits. Based upon entire body of claims data, determined biases of different schemes and relationships between settlement costs, industry, and geographical location.
• For a top internet advertising company, evaluated the technology of a potential acquisition. Analyzed company data to determine the approximate sales lift from a proprietary algorithm that targets potential customers based on click-stream data.
• For an insurance company with several hundred million dollars in yearly commissions, performed data analytics and statistical analysis to quantify the extent of commission under and over payments. Helped the company prove that the error rate was on the order of only $1 million.
• In a litigation matter concerning fraud by a car service (on behalf of the City of New York), designed a sample and analyzed data. Using three separate statistical models and data sources, quantitatively estimated the amount fraudulently billed to the City by the car service. The analysis involved over 100,000 trips billed over several years. Co-wrote an extensive report on the findings of the analysis.
• Designed and implemented several studies of stock basis in corporate mergers. One universe comprised over 100 million shares and more than 20,000 shareholders, yet the sample design resulted in a highly precise estimate using data for fewer than 1,000 shareholders.
• Analyzed hiring, promotion, termination, and compensation data in sex discrimination case against a prominent New York brokerage house. Case was heard before a New York Stock Exchange Arbitration panel.
• Analyzed the relationships between school funding, property values, and personal income in lawsuits challenging the constitutionality of public school financing in Pennsylvania and Massachusetts. The Massachusetts case was heard before the Supreme Judicial Court of Massachusetts.

• Ph.D., Statistics

• M.A., Statistics
• Honors: Cum Laude

• B.S., Economics and Finance

“Evaluating the Environmental Literacy of Israeli Elementary and High School Students,” with Maya
Negev, Gonen Sagy, and Alon Tal, Journal of Environmental Education, Winter 2008. Presented
results before Israeli Congressional committee in July 2007.

“Trends in Environmental Education in Israel,” with Gonen Sagy, Maya Negev, Yaakov Garb, and
Alon Tal, Studies in Natural Resources and Environment, Vol. 6, 2008. [In Hebrew]

“Results from a Representative Sample in the Israeli Educational System,” with Gonen Sagy, Maya
Negev, Yaakov Garb, and Alon Tal, Studies in Natural Resources and Environment, Vol. 6, 2008. [In
Hebrew]

“Comment on Local model uncertainty and incomplete-data bias by Copas and Li,” with Paul R.
Rosenbaum, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 2005.

“Determining Air Exchange Rates in Schools Using Carbon Dioxide Monitoring”, with D. Salzberg
and C. Fiegley, presented at the American Industrial Hygiene Conference and Expo, 2004.

"The Modified Z versus the Permutation Test in Third Party Telecommunications Testing", Proceedings of the 2001 Joint Statistical Meetings of the American Statistical Association.

"Removable Selection Bias in Quasi-experiments," The American Statistician, May 1999.

"Skewed oligomers and origins of replication," with S. Salzberg, A. Kervalage, and J. Tomb, Gene, Volume 217, Issue 1-2 (1998), pp. 57-67. Also presented this paper in an invited talk at Hebrew University in Jerusalem in February, 1999.

"Selection Bias in Quasi-experiments," (Doctoral Thesis), 1995.

One of five inventors on a pending patent for statistical process design related to information systems testing.

Married, with a daughter (Bayle), and a son (Caleb).
Interests: Enjoy ultimate, basketball, biking, hiking, tennis, skiing, chess, and bridge.